Pre-tourney Rankings
Colonial Athletic
2014-15


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
115 Hofstra 0.0%   20 - 13 10 - 8 20 - 13 10 - 8 +3.4      +1.7 115 +1.7 115 75.4 20 -0.6 171 -1.5 5
120 William & Mary 0.0%   18 - 12 12 - 6 18 - 12 12 - 6 +2.9      +1.4 120 +1.4 120 64.4 223 +2.0 139 +1.4 4
127 Northeastern 100.0%   14   23 - 11 12 - 6 23 - 11 12 - 6 +2.4      +1.2 127 +1.2 127 63.8 248 +3.8 107 +1.5 3
178 UNC Wilmington 0.0%   17 - 13 12 - 6 17 - 13 12 - 6 -1.0      -0.5 178 -0.5 178 71.6 55 +0.5 157 +1.9 2
209 James Madison 0.0%   19 - 13 12 - 6 19 - 13 12 - 6 -2.2      -1.1 209 -1.1 209 65.2 203 +0.8 153 +2.1 1
248 Elon 0.0%   13 - 18 6 - 12 13 - 18 6 - 12 -4.9      -2.4 248 -2.4 248 74.3 25 -4.1 241 -6.1 8
252 Drexel 0.0%   11 - 18 9 - 9 11 - 18 9 - 9 -5.0      -2.5 252 -2.5 252 59.8 315 -3.9 235 -1.9 7
256 Delaware 0.0%   10 - 20 9 - 9 10 - 20 9 - 9 -5.3      -2.6 256 -2.6 256 68.5 118 -5.8 266 -1.9 6
262 Towson 0.0%   11 - 20 5 - 13 11 - 20 5 - 13 -5.5      -2.8 262 -2.8 262 59.7 316 -7.0 289 -7.6 9
281 College of Charleston 0.0%   9 - 24 3 - 15 9 - 24 3 - 15 -6.3      -3.2 281 -3.2 281 59.8 314 -7.8 297 -11.3 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Hofstra 5.0 100.0
William & Mary 1.0 100.0
Northeastern 1.0 100.0
UNC Wilmington 1.0 100.0
James Madison 1.0 100.0
Elon 8.0 100.0
Drexel 6.0 100.0
Delaware 6.0 100.0
Towson 9.0 100.0
College of Charleston 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Hofstra 10 - 8 100.0
William & Mary 12 - 6 100.0
Northeastern 12 - 6 100.0
UNC Wilmington 12 - 6 100.0
James Madison 12 - 6 100.0
Elon 6 - 12 100.0
Drexel 9 - 9 100.0
Delaware 9 - 9 100.0
Towson 5 - 13 100.0
College of Charleston 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Hofstra
William & Mary 100.0% 100.0
Northeastern 100.0% 100.0
UNC Wilmington 100.0% 100.0
James Madison 100.0% 100.0
Elon
Drexel
Delaware
Towson
College of Charleston


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Hofstra 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
William & Mary 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northeastern 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.0 27.7 64.9 7.4 0.0
UNC Wilmington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
James Madison 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Drexel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Delaware 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Towson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
College of Charleston 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Hofstra 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William & Mary 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northeastern 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 9.5% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Wilmington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Madison 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Drexel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Towson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
College of Charleston 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 9.5% 0.1 90.5 9.5
Sweet Sixteen 1.7% 0.0 98.3 1.7
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0